PSYCH OpenIR  > 中国科学院行为科学重点实验室
Alternative TitleUsing Verbal Probability to Measure Uncertainty:Features and Problems
杜雪蕾1; 许洁虹1; 苏寅1; 李纾1
Source Publication心理科学进展
Contribution Rank1
Other AbstractVerbal probability is one of the ways of measuring uncertainty. People use verbal probability, such as "uncertain" and "possible", to describe the chance that an event will happen. Verbal probability differs from numerical probability, particularly in features of vagueness, non-probabilistic operation, and semantic feature. Some remarkable phenomena and problems arise and the quality of judgment and decision making suffer in one way or another when people use verbal probability, rather than numerical probability, to measure uncertainty. The role of verbal probability in risk decision making is understudied in spite of the fact that people often use verbal probability to communicate uncertainty in their daily lives and of the great differences between verbal probability and numerical probability. Suggestions are made for future work to focus on risk decision making using verbal probability and on other potential features (e.g., the relationship between verbal/numerical probability and the dual system model, cross-cultural differences in verbal probability) and their effects on risky choices, in order to further improve our understanding of the mechanism of risk decision making.
Keyword文字概率 数字概率 模糊性 非概率运算性 语义特性
Subject Area认知心理学
Indexed ByCSCD
Funding Organization国家重点基础研究发展计划(2011CB711000)、国家自然科学基金面上项目(31170976)、中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KSCX2.EW.J一8)以及北京市重点学科建设项目资助,并获得首届中国科学院研究生格致论坛三等奖.
Citation statistics
Cited Times:1[CSCD]   [CSCD Record]
Document Type期刊论文
Corresponding Author李纾
First Author AffilicationInstitute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Corresponding Author AffilicationInstitute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
杜雪蕾,许洁虹,苏寅,等. 用文字概率衡量不确定性:特征和问题[J]. 心理科学进展,2012,20(5):651-661.
APA 杜雪蕾,许洁虹,苏寅,&李纾.(2012).用文字概率衡量不确定性:特征和问题.心理科学进展,20(5),651-661.
MLA 杜雪蕾,et al."用文字概率衡量不确定性:特征和问题".心理科学进展 20.5(2012):651-661.
Files in This Item:
File Name/Size DocType Version Access License
用文字概率衡量不确定性_特征和问题_杜雪(385KB)期刊论文作者接受稿限制开放CC BY-NC-SAView Application Full Text
Related Services
Recommend this item
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[杜雪蕾]'s Articles
[许洁虹]'s Articles
[苏寅]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[杜雪蕾]'s Articles
[许洁虹]'s Articles
[苏寅]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[杜雪蕾]'s Articles
[许洁虹]'s Articles
[苏寅]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
File name: 用文字概率衡量不确定性_特征和问题_杜雪蕾[1].pdf
Format: Adobe PDF
This file does not support browsing at this time
All comments (0)
No comment.

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.