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Prediction model of future academic impact for young scientists
Tongqi, Wei1; Jingjing, Lu2; Zongying, Tan3
2017
会议名称16th International Conference on Scientometrics and Informetrics, ISSI 2017
通讯作者邮箱weitq@psych.ac.cn
会议录名称ISSI 2017 - 16th International Conference on Scientometrics and Informetrics, Conference Proceeding
会议日期October 16, 2017 - October 20, 2017
会议地点Wuhan, China
出版者International Conference on Scientometrics and Informetrics
摘要

Previous studies focused on the characteristics of elicit scientists, or the early identification of high-potential scientists, but neglected career development research of ordinary young scientists. Using scientometrics and CV methods, the present study aims to establish statistic models in order to explore young scientists' career development, and predict their future academic impact. Predictors at 2009 were divided into four categories: publication indicators, scholar relationship indicators, scholar relationship indicators and research theme indicators, and these indicators were used to predict h-index at 2014. Predictive models were established separately in each category using stepwise regression, and finally a comprehensive model was built. Our result shows that hindex and total number of paper published could significantly predict scientific impact in the future. To improve academic impact, young scientists need to carry out extensive cooperation and play a key role in the cooperation, need to have the research experience in developed countries, and to reduce their research specialization.

关键词Career development Comprehensive model Prediction model Research experience Stepwise regression
收录类别EI
语种英语
文献类型会议论文
条目标识符http://ir.psych.ac.cn/handle/311026/25724
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通讯作者Tongqi, Wei; Zongying, Tan
作者单位1.Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China
2.People's Public Security University of China, Beijing, Chin
3.National Science Library, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Tongqi, Wei,Jingjing, Lu,Zongying, Tan. Prediction model of future academic impact for young scientists[C]:International Conference on Scientometrics and Informetrics,2017.
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