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New paradigms for the old question: Challenge the expectation rule held by risky decision-making theories.
Zhou, Lei1,2,3; Zhang, Yang-Yang2,3,4; Li, Shu1,2,3; Liang, Zhu-Yuan2,3
第一作者Zhou, Lei
通讯作者邮箱liangzy@psych.ac.cn ; lishu@psych.ac.cn
心理所单位排序2
摘要

In risky decision making, whether decision makers follow an expectation rule as hypothesised by mainstream theories is a compelling question. To tackle this question and enrich our knowledge of the underlying mechanism of risky decision making, we developed a series of new experimental paradigms that directly examined the computation processes to systematically investigate the process of risky decision making and explore the boundary condition of expectation rule over the course of a decade. In this article, we introduce these methods and review behavioural, eye-tracking, event-related potential, and functional magnetic resonance imaging studies that employed these methods. Results of these studies consistently showed that decision makers in the single-application condition did not perform the weighting and summing process assumed by the expectation rule. Moreover, decision makers were inclined to adopt a non-compensatory strategy, such as a heuristic one, in risky decision making. Furthermore, results indicated that the expectation rule was only applicable for conditions that involved decisions applied to numerous events (multiple applications) or to people (everyone). The findings indicated that using an index based on expected value to prescribe human risk preferences appears to be an artificial or false index of risk preference, and emphasised a new methodological direction for risky decision-making research.

关键词risky decision making process testing compensatory rule non-compensatory rule
2018
语种英语
DOI10.1017/prp.2018.4
发表期刊Journal of Pacific Rim Psychology
ISSN1834-4909
卷号12期号:E17页码:1–10
期刊论文类型Review
URL查看原文
收录类别SSCI
WOS研究方向Psychology
WOS类目Psychology, Multidisciplinary
WOS记录号WOS:000437537200017
Q分类Q3
引用统计
被引频次:9[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.psych.ac.cn/handle/311026/29097
专题中国科学院行为科学重点实验室
通讯作者Li, Shu; Liang, Zhu-Yuan
作者单位1.Management School, Jinan University
2.CAS Key Laboratory of Behavioral Science, Institute of Psychology
3.Department of Psychology, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
4.School of Psychology, Shaanxi Normal University
第一作者单位中国科学院行为科学重点实验室
通讯作者单位中国科学院行为科学重点实验室
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhou, Lei,Zhang, Yang-Yang,Li, Shu,et al. New paradigms for the old question: Challenge the expectation rule held by risky decision-making theories.[J]. Journal of Pacific Rim Psychology,2018,12(E17):1–10.
APA Zhou, Lei,Zhang, Yang-Yang,Li, Shu,&Liang, Zhu-Yuan.(2018).New paradigms for the old question: Challenge the expectation rule held by risky decision-making theories..Journal of Pacific Rim Psychology,12(E17),1–10.
MLA Zhou, Lei,et al."New paradigms for the old question: Challenge the expectation rule held by risky decision-making theories.".Journal of Pacific Rim Psychology 12.E17(2018):1–10.
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