Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace

doi:10.1080/09557571.2019.1623170

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	Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace
	Gries, Peter 1,2; Jing, Yiming3
通讯作者	Gries, Peter(peter.gries@manchester.ac.uk)
摘要	Are the United States (US) and China destined to fall into a 'Thucydides trap' of power transitions leading to great power conflict? This study explores how the intersubjective perception of media-disseminated narratives of US-China interdependence may shape the likelihood of war. In two randomized online experiments, we manipulated ordinary Americans' perceptions of US-China relations with real CNN video clips that narrated a US-China power transition as either positive or zero sum. Across both experiments, more zero-sum narratives boosted perceived US-China competition, increasing intergroup mistrust, anger and subsequent desires for a tougher China policy. The second study also revealed that individual differences in nationalism and uncertainty avoidance moderated the effects of the perception of media narratives on mistrust and anger. Viewers actively interpret media they are exposed to. These findings empirically demonstrate the power of narratives: specifically, they reveal the psychological mechanisms linking structural changes in the balance of power to the individual-level processes that may determine great power war and peace.
	2019-07-04
语种	英语
DOI	10.1080/09557571.2019.1623170
发表期刊	CAMBRIDGE REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
ISSN	0955-7571
卷号	32 期号:4 页码:456-482
收录类别	SCI
出版者	ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
WOS关键词	TRUST ; RISE ; FUTURE ; MODEL
WOS研究方向	International Relations ; Government & Law
WOS类目	International Relations ; Political Science
WOS记录号	WOS:000476109600001
引用统计	被引频次：17[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	https://ir.psych.ac.cn/handle/311026/29597
专题	社会与工程心理学研究室
通讯作者	Gries, Peter
作者单位	1.Univ Manchester, Manchester China Inst, Manchester, Lancs, England 2.Univ Manchester, Chinese Polit, Manchester, Lancs, England 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Psychol, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gries, Peter,Jing, Yiming. Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace[J]. CAMBRIDGE REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS,2019,32(4):456-482.
APA	Gries, Peter,&Jing, Yiming.(2019).Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace.CAMBRIDGE REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS,32(4),456-482.
MLA	Gries, Peter,et al."Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace".CAMBRIDGE REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 32.4(2019):456-482.

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