PSYCH OpenIR  > 社会与工程心理学研究室
Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace
Gries, Peter1,2; Jing, Yiming3
First AuthorGries, Peter
2019-07-04
Source PublicationCAMBRIDGE REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
ISSN0955-7571
Subtypearticle
Volume32Issue:4Pages:456-482
Contribution Rank2
Abstract

Are the United States (US) and China destined to fall into a 'Thucydides trap' of power transitions leading to great power conflict? This study explores how the intersubjective perception of media-disseminated narratives of US-China interdependence may shape the likelihood of war. In two randomized online experiments, we manipulated ordinary Americans' perceptions of US-China relations with real CNN video clips that narrated a US-China power transition as either positive or zero sum. Across both experiments, more zero-sum narratives boosted perceived US-China competition, increasing intergroup mistrust, anger and subsequent desires for a tougher China policy. The second study also revealed that individual differences in nationalism and uncertainty avoidance moderated the effects of the perception of media narratives on mistrust and anger. Viewers actively interpret media they are exposed to. These findings empirically demonstrate the power of narratives: specifically, they reveal the psychological mechanisms linking structural changes in the balance of power to the individual-level processes that may determine great power war and peace.

DOI10.1080/09557571.2019.1623170
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS Research AreaInternational Relations ; Government & Law
WOS SubjectInternational Relations ; Political Science
WOS IDWOS:000476109600001
PublisherROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
WOS KeywordTRUST ; RISE ; FUTURE ; MODEL
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.psych.ac.cn/handle/311026/29597
Collection社会与工程心理学研究室
Corresponding AuthorGries, Peter
Affiliation1.Univ Manchester, Manchester China Inst, Manchester, Lancs, England
2.Univ Manchester, Chinese Polit, Manchester, Lancs, England
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Psychol, Beijing, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Gries, Peter,Jing, Yiming. Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace[J]. CAMBRIDGE REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS,2019,32(4):456-482.
APA Gries, Peter,&Jing, Yiming.(2019).Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace.CAMBRIDGE REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS,32(4),456-482.
MLA Gries, Peter,et al."Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace".CAMBRIDGE REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 32.4(2019):456-482.
Files in This Item:
File Name/Size DocType Version Access License
Are the US and China(683KB)期刊论文作者接受稿限制开放CC BY-NC-SAView Application Full Text
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Gries, Peter]'s Articles
[Jing, Yiming]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Gries, Peter]'s Articles
[Jing, Yiming]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Gries, Peter]'s Articles
[Jing, Yiming]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
File name: Are the US and China fated to fight_ How narratives of 'power transition' shape great power war or peace.pdf
Format: Adobe PDF
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.