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Alternative TitleProspect Theory:Theoretical Advances and Empirical Challenges
孙彦; 殷晓莉; 李纾
Source Publication应用心理学
Abstract1979年,Kahneman与Tversky修正了von Neumann与Morgenstern的期望效用理论(expected utility theory,EU)中有关线性概率的假设,提出了预期理论(prospect theory,PT)。1992年,两人对预期理论作了进一步的改进,将该理论演进为累积性预期理论(cumulative prospect theory,CPT)。本文就从PT到CPT的发展、CPT与PT的差异及CPT所面临的危机进行了述评。
Keyword风险决策 预期理论 累积性预期理论
Subject Area工业与组织心理学
Indexed ByASPT来源刊 CJFD收录刊
Funding Project中国科学院“百人计划”;; 中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KSCX2-YW-R-130);; 国家自然科学基金(70671099、70701036)
NoteProspect Theory(PT)proposed by Kahneman and Tversky(1979)derives from Expected Utility(EU)Theory formalized by von Neumann and Morgenstern(1944).Tversky and Kahneman(1992)offered an integrated perspective in Cumulative Prospect Theory(CPT)as a supplement to PT.This article reviews PT and CPT,discusses the differences between them,and points out the challenges to the cumulative version of Prospect Theory.
Document Type期刊论文
Corresponding Author李纾
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
孙彦,殷晓莉,李纾. 预期理论的提出、演进及危机[J]. 应用心理学,2007,13(2):168-173.
APA 孙彦,殷晓莉,&李纾.(2007).预期理论的提出、演进及危机.应用心理学,13(2),168-173.
MLA 孙彦,et al."预期理论的提出、演进及危机".应用心理学 13.2(2007):168-173.
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