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Alternative TitleHow has the Low-probability/higy-consequence Event Influenced Risky Decision Making?
李金珍; 李纾; 许洁虹
Source Publication中国安全科学学报
Abstract对小概率/高风险的灾难事件的后继风险决策进行探讨,着重在决策的认知神经经济模型框架下,讨论灾难事件后继风险决策的影响因素。灾难事件后人们的风险觉知、信念和假定、经验等认知因素以及灾后情绪因素对于决策分别有不同的影响;人们灾后决策的特点为决策更多直觉化而较少运用理性分析;灾难后继决策有随时间变化的趋势,灾难事件后人们为寻求安全感而出现“损失偏差”(loss bias),该偏差在“获得”和“损失”两种条件下的影响是不同的。灾后风险决策的内在机制或可用思维和决策的双加工系统(dual-process)模型来解释。最后展望了灾难事件后继决策进一步的研究方向。
Keyword灾难 决策 情绪 认知 时间
Subject Area创伤心理学
Indexed By中文核心期刊要目总览 ASPT来源刊 CJFD收录刊
Funding Project国家自然科学基金资助(70671099);; 中国科学院“百人计划”项目;; 中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KSCX2-YW-R-130)
NoteHow the risky decision is made after a low-probability disaster with high-consequences was discussed,which aimed to find out the factors influencing post-disaster decision making within the framework of Cognitive Neuroeconomic Model.Study shows that the emotional factors and cognitive factors including beliefs,assumptions,risk perceptions and past experience have difference influence on the decision making of post-disaster,which is more based on intuition and less on theoretical analysis.Meanwhile,the decis...
Document Type期刊论文
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
李金珍,李纾,许洁虹. 灾难事件后继风险决策[J]. 中国安全科学学报,2008,18(4):37-43.
APA 李金珍,李纾,&许洁虹.(2008).灾难事件后继风险决策.中国安全科学学报,18(4),37-43.
MLA 李金珍,et al."灾难事件后继风险决策".中国安全科学学报 18.4(2008):37-43.
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